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Predictions for Senate seats up for election


Political predictions

(USAT)

One of the most highly watched —and dissected and forecasted—battles during the 2022 midterm elections is the Senate race. As of now, it’s considered a toss-up, where the control could either go to the Republicans or the Democrats.

There are currently 35 seats up for grabs— 21 Republican-held and 14 Democrat-held—with several key states most likely set to determine the outcome. Georgia, Pennsylvania and Nevada are the prime game-changers.

With the end of October nearing, here are the predictions for each state with those Senate seats up for election, per FiveThirtyEight.

Alabama

(USAT)

Katie Britt (Rep.): 99% chance of winning

 

Alaska

(Jack Gruber-USA TODAY)

Lisa Murkowski (Rep.): 50% chance of winning

Kelly C. Tshibaka (Rep.): 40% chance of winning

Arkansas

(Beth Hall-USA TODAY Sports)

John Boozman (Rep.): 99% chance of winning.

Arizona

(USAT)

Mark Kelly (Dem.) 69% chance of winning

Blake Maters (Rep.): 31% chance of winning

California

(Democratic National Convention via USA TODAY NETWORK)

Alex Padilla (Dem.): 99% chance of winning

Colorado

(USA TODAY Network)

Michael Bennet (Dem.): 88% percent chance of winning

Connecticut

(John Shishmanian/ NorwichBulletin.com)

Richard Blumenthal (Dem.): 99% chance of winning

Florida

(USAT)

Marco Rubio (Rep.): 93% chance of winning

Georgia

(USAT)

Herschel Walker (Rep): 52% chance of winning

Raphael Warnock (Dem.): 48% chance of winning

Hawaii

(Photo by Anna Rose Layden/Getty Images)

Brian Schatz (Dem.): 99% chance of winning

Idaho

(Hannah Gaber-USA TODAY)

Mike Crapo (Rep.): 99% chance of winning

Illinois

(Democratic National Convention via USA TODAY NETWORK)

Tammy Duckworth (Dem.): 99% chance of winning

Indiana

(USAT)

Todd Young (Rep.): 97% chance of winning

Iowa

(USAT)

Chuck Grassley (Rep.): 95% chance of winning

Kansas

(USAT)

Jerry Moran (Rep.): 99% chance of winning

Kentucky

(USAT)

Rand Paul (Rep.): 99% chance of winning

Louisiana

(Jack Gruber-USA TODAY)

John Kennedy (Rep.): 93% chance of winning

Maryland

(Jasper Colt-USA TODAY)

Chris Van Hollen (Dem.): 99% chance of winning

Missouri

(USAT)

Eric Schmitt (Rep.): 99% chance of winning

Nevada

(Photo by David Becker/Getty Images)

Adam Paul Laxalt (Rep.): 53% chance of winning

Catherine Cortez Masto (Dem.): 47% chance of winning

New Hampshire

(USAT)

Maggie Hassan (Dem.): 78% chance of winning

Donald C. Bolduc (Rep.): 22% chance of winning

New York

(USAT)

Charles E. Schumer (Dem.): 99% chance of winning

North Carolina

(Photo by Melissa Sue Gerrits/Getty Images)

Ted Budd (Rep.): 78% chance of winning

Cheri Beasley (Dem.): 22% chance of winning

North Dakota

(Jack Gruber-USA TODAY NETWORK)

John Hoeven (Rep.): 99% chance of winning

Ohio

(USAT)

J.D. Vance (Rep.): 76% chance of winning

Tim Ryan (Dem.): 24% chance of winning

Oklahoma

(USAT)

James Lankford (Rep.): 99% chance of winning

Special Senate Election: Markwayne Mullin (Rep.): 99% chance of winning

Oregon

(USAT)

Ron Wyden (Dem.): 99% chance of winning

Pennsylvania

(USAT)

John Fetterman (Dem.): 59% chance of winning

Mehmet Oz (Rep.): 41% chance of winning

South Carolina

(Republican National Convention via USA TODAY NETWORK)

Tim Scott (Rep.): 99% chance of winning

South Dakota

(Eric P Kruszewski-USA TODAY)

John R. Thune (Rep.): 99% chance of winning

Utah

(USAT)

Mike Lee (Rep.): 95% chance of winning

Vermont

(USAT)

Peter Welch (Dem.): 99% chance of winning

Washington

(Robert Deutsch-USA TODAY NETWORK)

Patty Murray (Dem.): 93% chance of winning

Wisconsin

(Mandela Barnes, USAT)

Ron Johnson (Rep.): 76% chance of winning

Mandela Barnes (Dem.): 24% chance of winning

Story originally appeared on List Wire



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