The Economist’s 2022 Senate forecast

October 31st 2022: We have updated the methodology behind our
congressional forecast.

Read about the changes to our model


Simulated Senate seats won

Each day, we run 10,000 simulated elections based on polling, demographics, fundraising and historical results. These statistics reflect the outcomes of those simulated elections.

Average prediction




49.249.2 50.850.8

2020 Senate results

5050 5050

Democrats win
in 43
out of 100 simulations

Read More: The Economist’s 2022 Senate forecast

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